Politics – North Korea conducts a nuclear test before 1 January 2020.

Created by jbeshir on 2018-12-09; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.

• jbeshir estimated 20% on 2018-12-09
• pranomostro estimated 50% on 2018-12-10
• lettergram estimated 50% on 2018-12-18
• Baeboo estimated 50% on 2018-12-18
• MultiplyByZer0 estimated 30% on 2018-12-30
• Bruno Parga estimated 20% on 2019-01-03
• Bruno Parga said “LOL @ my confidence in this halving within the span of 13 days.” on 2020-01-01
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.