Politics, UK – There is a new prime minister of the United Kingdom before 1 July 2019, and they're from the Conservative Party.

Created by jbeshir on 2018-12-22; known on 2019-07-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-09.

• jbeshir estimated 25% on 2018-12-22
• pranomostro estimated 15% on 2018-12-30
• amadeu estimated 25% on 2018-12-31
• 6thNapoleon estimated 30% on 2019-02-02
• Cato estimated 40% on 2019-03-07
• Cato estimated 55% on 2019-03-13
• amadeu estimated 30% on 2019-03-18
• 6thNapoleon estimated 44% on 2019-03-20
• amadeu estimated 55% on 2019-03-29
• Baeboo estimated 14% on 2019-04-13
• 6thNapoleon estimated 20% on 2019-04-22
• Pablo estimated 33% on 2019-04-22
• Pablo estimated 12% on 2019-05-10
• amadeu estimated 13% on 2019-05-14
• Cato said “May is still PM. Judging this as false.” on 2019-07-09
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-07-09.