The US 10y-1y yield curve will invert in 2019.

Created by Cato on 2019-01-02; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2019-04-03.

• Cato estimated 60% on 2019-01-02
• Cato said “Verification: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield” on 2019-01-02
• Cato said “Inversion in a single day counts. Inversions at other maturities, such as 5y-1y (which is currently inverted), do not.” on 2019-01-02
• pranomostro estimated 50% on 2019-01-03
• Cato estimated 70% on 2019-03-01
• Cato said “Happened on 03-22 and other dates” on 2019-04-03
• Cato   judged this prediction right on 2019-04-03.