Same-sex marriage to be legalized in at least one more EU member in 2019.

Created by Cato on 2019-01-02; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-12-31.

• Cato estimated 30% on 2019-01-02
• Cato said “To count as correct, SSM must be legalized in (at least one of) Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, or Slovakia.” on 2019-01-02
• amadeu estimated 20% on 2019-01-02
• sabs81 estimated 40% on 2019-01-02
• Cato said “Another clarification: The legalization has to take effect in 2019, not just be announced in 2019.” on 2019-01-02
• Baeboo estimated 30% on 2019-01-02
• Bruno Parga estimated 20% on 2019-01-03
• pranomostro estimated 35% on 2019-01-03
• lalaithion estimated 33% on 2019-01-12
• Cato estimated 26% on 2019-06-12
• Bruno Parga said “Besides the countries mentioned in the first comment, Estonia, Greece, Hungary, Italy and Slovenia don’t have same-sex marriage (although some do have other forms of unions).” on 2019-12-31
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-12-31.