One of {Uber, Twitter, Tumblr, Facebook, Magic Leap, Coinbase} will collapse.

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-08; known on 2025-01-01

  • pranomostro estimated 55% on 2019-01-08
  • pranomostro changed the deadline from “on 2025-01-01” and changed their prediction from “One of {Uber, Twitter, Tumblr, Facebook, Magic Leap, Coinbase} will collapse before 2025.” on 2019-01-08
  • pranomostro estimated 60% on 2019-01-08
  • Medea estimated 75% on 2019-01-11
  • Baeboo estimated 68% on 2019-01-12
  • aoeu estimated 40% and said “probably Magic Leapon 2019-01-12
  • lalaithion estimated 34% on 2019-01-12
  • Michael Dickens said “Can you define “collapse” a little more specifically? e.g., 90% or greater decline in valuation from peak to troughon 2019-01-14
  • two2thehead said “What Michael Dickens said.on 2019-01-14
  • pranomostro said “Source: https://lobste.rs/s/qvzps0/share_predictions_for_long_medium_short#c_2dl7paon 2019-01-19
  • pranomostro said “The original prediction is not very specific, but I’m inclined to agree with @Michael Dickens on the resolution criteria.on 2019-01-19
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 59% and said “this is basically equivalent to “magic leap will collapse by 2025”12 days ago

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