US & China to announce end to trade war in Q1 2019.
Created by Cato on 2019-01-09; known on 2019-04-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-04-01.
- Cato estimated 60% on 2019-01-09
- Cato said “Definition: US and China to announce end of all new (i.e., added since July 2018) tariffs on counterparty’s goods.” on 2019-01-09
- Cato estimated 65% on 2019-01-10
- Cato said “To clarify, the relevant date is the announcement date, not the effective date.” on 2019-03-01
- Cato estimated 75% on 2019-03-01
- Cato estimated 1% on 2019-03-15
- Baeboo estimated 0% on 2019-03-15
- Baeboo estimated 1% on 2019-03-15
- Baeboo estimated 0% on 2019-03-20
- Cato judged this prediction wrong on 2019-04-01.