US & China to announce end to trade war in Q1 2019.

Created by Cato on 2019-01-09; known on 2019-04-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-04-01.

  • Cato estimated 60% on 2019-01-09
  • Cato said “Definition: US and China to announce end of all new (i.e., added since July 2018) tariffs on counterparty’s goods.on 2019-01-09
  • Cato estimated 65% on 2019-01-10
  • Cato said “To clarify, the relevant date is the announcement date, not the effective date.on 2019-03-01
  • Cato estimated 75% on 2019-03-01
  • Cato estimated 1% on 2019-03-15
  • Baeboo estimated 0% on 2019-03-15
  • Baeboo estimated 1% on 2019-03-15
  • Baeboo estimated 0% on 2019-03-20
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-04-01.

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