[[Fighting] UFC Fight Night 143: As measured by Brier score, the model that best predicts winners will be] Betting Odds
- Cato estimated 25% on 2019-01-09
- Cato said “Model definition: Probabilities are taken from this site: https://www.bestfightodds.com/. Model uses simple average of all quoted odds as of 2019-01-09, ten days prior to event.” on 2019-01-09
- Cato estimated 30% on 2019-01-18
- Cato judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-21.
- Cato said “Brier score = 0.27” on 2019-01-21
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