[[Fighting] UFC Fight Night 143: As measured by Brier score, the model that best predicts winners will be] Betting Odds

Created by Cato on 2019-01-09; known on 2019-01-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-01-21.

• Cato estimated 25% on 2019-01-09
• Cato said “Model definition: Probabilities are taken from this site: https://www.bestfightodds.com/. Model uses simple average of all quoted odds as of 2019-01-09, ten days prior to event.” on 2019-01-09
• Cato estimated 30% on 2019-01-18
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-21.
• Cato said “Brier score = 0.27” on 2019-01-21