[[Fighting] UFC Fight Night 143: As measured by Brier score, the model that best predicts winners will be] Reach (Naïve)

Created by Cato on 2019-01-09; known on 2019-01-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-01-21.

• Cato estimated 0% on 2019-01-09
• Cato said “Model predicts fighter with longer reach to win at 100%. If reach data is unavailable for one fighter in a bout, height is used instead for both fighters.” on 2019-01-09
• Cato said “Brier score = 0.75, the worst of the bunch” on 2019-01-21
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-21.