[[Fighting] UFC Fight Night 143: As measured by Brier score, the model that best predicts winners will be] One-Sided Laplace

Created by Cato on 2019-01-09; known on 2019-01-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-01-21.

  • Cato estimated 0% on 2019-01-09
  • Cato said “Model uses Laplace’s rule of succession on fighters’ Win-Loss records to predict bout winners.on 2019-01-09
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-21.
  • Cato said “Brier score = 0.318on 2019-01-21

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