[[Fighting] UFC Fight Night 143: As measured by Brier score, the model that best predicts winners will be] Two-Sided Laplace (Naïve)
- Cato estimated 0% on 2019-01-09
- Cato said “Model calculates Laplace rule-of-succession probabilities for each fighter in a bout. Whichever fighter’s probability is higher is predicted to win at 100%.” on 2019-01-09
- Cato said “Brier score = 0.45” on 2019-01-21
- Cato judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-21.
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