“No Democratic presidential candidate will become a clear frontrunner in the political prediction markets at any point in 2019”

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.

• pranomostro estimated 45% on 2019-01-19
• pranomostro said “Source: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2019/1/15/18182069/2019-predictions-forecast-democratic-nominee-brexit” on 2019-01-19
• pranomostro changed the deadline from “on 2020-01-01” and changed their prediction from “No Democratic presidential candidate will become a clear frontrunner in the political prediction markets at any point in 2019” on 2019-01-19
• Bruno Parga said “Joe Biden has consistently been the clear frontrunner.” on 2020-01-01
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.