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Taiwan to declare independence in 2019

Created by Cato on 2019-01-21; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

  • Cato estimated 10% on 2019-01-21
  • pranomostro estimated 30% on 2019-01-21
  • Cato estimated 3% on 2019-03-01
  • Cato estimated 1% on 2019-06-12
  • Cato estimated 0% on 2019-07-21
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-02.