“Bernie Sanders leads the Democratic field”

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-26; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by pranomostro on 2020-04-09.

• pranomostro estimated 50% on 2019-01-26
• pranomostro said “Source: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/01/25/predictions-for-2019/” on 2019-01-26
• pranomostro estimated 35% on 2019-01-26
• pranomostro estimated 30% on 2019-01-26
• pranomostro   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-04-09.