“Beto O’Rourke leads the Democratic field”

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-26; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2020-01-02.

• pranomostro estimated 15% on 2019-01-26
• pranomostro said “Source: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/01/25/predictions-for-2019/” on 2019-01-26
• Cato estimated 1% on 2019-02-01
• PseudonymousUser estimated 6% on 2019-03-08
• Baeboo estimated 14% on 2019-03-20
• PseudonymousUser estimated 21% on 2019-04-12
• Baeboo estimated 8% on 2019-04-12
• Baeboo   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-02.