“No other EU country announces plan to leave”

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-26; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by pranomostro on 2020-01-01.

  • pranomostro estimated 85% on 2019-01-26
  • pranomostro said “Source: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/01/25/predictions-for-2019/on 2019-01-26
  • 6thNapoleon estimated 93% on 2019-01-26
  • Baeboo estimated 87% on 2019-01-27
  • Osuniev estimated 95% and said “my gf says 82%on 2019-01-27
  • Bruno Parga said “This prediction is unclear. Is this “guys we should maybe hold a referendum” or is it " we’re triggering Article 50"?on 2019-01-31
  • calummcii estimated 80% and said “Britain is unlikely to be in an attractive post-Brexit position by 2020 so hard to imagine others joining suit in that time. But there’s a lot of EU countries and I don’t understand all their politics enough to be more confident.on 2019-02-01
  • telegrafista estimated 80% on 2019-02-14
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 80% on 2019-03-08
  • pranomostro said “I think it’s pretty safe to say this didn’t happen.on 2020-01-01
  • pranomostro   judged this prediction right on 2020-01-01.

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