“No other EU country announces plan to leave”

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-26; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by pranomostro on 2020-01-01.

• pranomostro estimated 85% on 2019-01-26
• pranomostro said “Source: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/01/25/predictions-for-2019/” on 2019-01-26
• 6thNapoleon estimated 93% on 2019-01-26
• Baeboo estimated 87% on 2019-01-27
• Osuniev estimated 95% and said “my gf says 82%” on 2019-01-27
• Bruno Parga said “This prediction is unclear. Is this “guys we should maybe hold a referendum” or is it " we’re triggering Article 50"?” on 2019-01-31
• calummcii estimated 80% and said “Britain is unlikely to be in an attractive post-Brexit position by 2020 so hard to imagine others joining suit in that time. But there’s a lot of EU countries and I don’t understand all their politics enough to be more confident.” on 2019-02-01
• telegrafista estimated 80% on 2019-02-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 80% on 2019-03-08
• pranomostro said “I think it’s pretty safe to say this didn’t happen.” on 2020-01-01
• pranomostro   judged this prediction right on 2020-01-01.