“May still in power”

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-26; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by splorridge on 2019-08-31.

• pranomostro estimated 45% on 2019-01-26
• pranomostro said “Source: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/01/25/predictions-for-2019/” on 2019-01-26
• 6thNapoleon estimated 39% on 2019-01-26
• Baeboo estimated 51% on 2019-01-27
• Bruno Parga estimated 30% on 2019-01-31
• Baeboo estimated 55% on 2019-02-01
• telegrafista estimated 40% on 2019-02-14
• splorridge estimated 44% on 2019-03-07
• 6thNapoleon estimated 18% on 2019-03-20
• amadeu estimated 20% on 2019-04-04
• splorridge   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-08-31.