Any UN member state to recognize Taiwan or ROC in 2019

Created by Cato on 2019-01-31; known on 2020-01-01

  • Cato estimated 25% on 2019-01-31
  • Cato said “Naturally, I exclude the 17 states that already recognize the Republic of China. See next comment for list.on 2019-01-31
  • Cato said “Excluded: Belize, Eswatini, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Nicaragua, Palau, Paraguay, Solomon Islands, St. Kitts & Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent & the Grenadines, Tuvalu, and Vatican Cityon 2019-01-31
  • pranomostro estimated 33% on 2019-01-31
  • Bruno Parga estimated 15% on 2019-01-31
  • Cato estimated 21% on 2019-03-01
  • Cato estimated 19% 19 days ago

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction