[Prizes] A Chinese citizen to win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2019

Created by Cato on 2019-02-01; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-12.

  • Cato estimated 15% on 2019-02-01
  • pranomostro estimated 40% on 2019-02-08
  • Cato estimated 19% on 2019-04-10
  • Cato estimated 21% on 2019-06-12
  • Cato changed their prediction from “[Prizes] A Chinese citizen to win the Nobel Peace Price in 2019” on 2019-10-12
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-10-12.

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