[Interest rates] US yield curve to be inverted (at any maturity) as of the last day in September for which data are published

Created by Cato on 2019-02-02; known on 2019-10-01; judged right by Cato on 2019-10-01.

• Cato estimated 15% on 2019-02-02
• Cato said “https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield” on 2019-02-02
• Cato said “Note that yields at the following maturities are inverted as of 2019-02-01: 5y-1y, 5y-2y, 3y-1y, 3y-2y, 2y-1y, and 3m-2m.” on 2019-02-02
• Cato estimated 8% on 2019-03-04
• Cato estimated 30% on 2019-04-17
• Cato estimated 22% on 2019-04-26
• Cato estimated 26% on 2019-05-17
• Cato estimated 60% on 2019-05-29
• Cato estimated 81% on 2019-06-25
• Cato estimated 83% on 2019-07-22
• Cato estimated 84% on 2019-08-05
• Cato estimated 97% on 2019-08-29
• Cato estimated 98% on 2019-09-02
• Cato estimated 99% on 2019-09-20
• Cato   judged this prediction right on 2019-10-01.