[Interest rates] US yield curve to be inverted (at any maturity) as of the last day in April for which data are published

Created by Cato on 2019-02-02; known on 2019-05-01; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-05.

• Cato estimated 35% on 2019-02-02
• Cato said “https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield” on 2019-02-02
• Cato said “Note that yields at the following maturities are inverted as of 2019-02-01: 5y-1y, 5y-2y, 3y-1y, 3y-2y, 2y-1y, and 3m-2m.” on 2019-02-02
• Cato estimated 29% on 2019-03-04
• Cato estimated 45% on 2019-03-12
• Cato estimated 47% on 2019-03-20
• Cato estimated 75% on 2019-04-01
• Cato estimated 86% on 2019-04-10
• Cato estimated 60% on 2019-04-17
• Cato estimated 100% on 2019-04-26
• Cato   judged this prediction right on 2019-05-05.