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[Politics] Theresa May to lose a vote of no confidence in 2019 H1

Created by Cato on 2019-02-02; known on 2019-07-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-01.

  • Cato estimated 65% on 2019-02-02
  • pranomostro estimated 45% on 2019-02-08
  • Baeboo estimated 40% on 2019-02-09
  • splorridge estimated 30% on 2019-03-07
  • Cato estimated 75% on 2019-03-13
  • amadeu estimated 28% on 2019-03-18
  • amadeu estimated 10% on 2019-05-14
  • Cato estimated 0% on 2019-05-29
  • stepan estimated 0% on 2019-06-26
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-07-01.