[Politics] At least one of the eight current main candidates for 2020 Democratic presidential nominee to withdraw within the next three months

Created by Cato on 2019-02-02; known on 2019-05-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-05.

• Cato estimated 75% on 2019-02-02
• Cato said “An open-ended “suspension of campaign” counts too” on 2019-02-02
• Cato said “Current candidates: Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Julián Castro, John Delaney, Tulsi Gabbard, Kirstin Gillibrand, Kamala Harris, and Elizabeth Warren” on 2019-02-02
• Cato estimated 85% on 2019-02-02
• pranomostro estimated 55% on 2019-02-08
• Baeboo estimated 65% on 2019-02-09
• Cato estimated 55% on 2019-03-14
• amadeu estimated 20% on 2019-04-04
• Cato estimated 30% on 2019-04-10
• Cato estimated 10% on 2019-04-17
• Pablo estimated 4% on 2019-04-22
• Cato estimated 8% on 2019-04-26
• Cato estimated 1% on 2019-04-26
• Baeboo estimated 2% on 2019-04-26
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-05-05.