[Politics] At least one of the eight current main candidates for 2020 Democratic presidential nominee to withdraw within the next three months

Created by Cato on 2019-02-02; known on 2019-05-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-05.

  • Cato estimated 75% on 2019-02-02
  • Cato said “An open-ended “suspension of campaign” counts tooon 2019-02-02
  • Cato said “Current candidates: Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Julián Castro, John Delaney, Tulsi Gabbard, Kirstin Gillibrand, Kamala Harris, and Elizabeth Warrenon 2019-02-02
  • Cato estimated 85% on 2019-02-02
  • pranomostro estimated 55% on 2019-02-08
  • Baeboo estimated 65% on 2019-02-09
  • Cato estimated 55% on 2019-03-14
  • amadeu estimated 20% on 2019-04-04
  • Cato estimated 30% on 2019-04-10
  • Cato estimated 10% on 2019-04-17
  • Pablo Stafforini estimated 4% on 2019-04-22
  • Cato estimated 8% on 2019-04-26
  • Cato estimated 1% on 2019-04-26
  • Baeboo estimated 2% on 2019-04-26
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-05-05.

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