Trump will not be impeached
Created by bklorimer on 2019-02-02; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-08-13.
- bklorimer estimated 65% on 2019-02-02
- Baeboo estimated 67% on 2019-02-03
- pranomostro estimated 66% on 2019-02-03
- xdxdxd estimated 68% on 2019-02-04
- Cato said “Current odds imply 55%: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3537/Will-Donald-Trump-be-impeached-in-his-first-term” on 2019-02-11
- avi judged this prediction right on 2019-02-13.
- avi judged this prediction unknown on 2019-02-13.
- avi said “fuck.. my mistake.” on 2019-02-13
- PseudonymousUser judged this prediction unknown on 2019-02-25.
- pranomostro said “But – he was impeached.” on 2020-02-12
- pranomostro said “Right?” on 2020-02-12
- pranomostro said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Impeachment_of_Donald_Trump” on 2020-02-12
- pranomostro judged this prediction right on 2020-02-12.
- sty.silver judged this prediction wrong on 2020-08-13.
- sty.silver said “I think you missed the negative in the prediction” on 2020-08-13