Politics, US – Mick Mulvaney ceases to be Chief of Staff before the 1st of January, 2020

Created by jbeshir on 2019-02-16; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2020-01-01.

• jbeshir estimated 80% on 2019-02-16
• jbeshir changed the deadline from “on 2020-01-01” and made the prediction on 2019-02-16
• Cato estimated 15% on 2019-02-18
• Cato estimated 85% on 2019-02-18
• Cato estimated 85% on 2019-02-18
• Cato said “Sorry, I misread the proposition at first. I’ve added an extra “long” bet to even out the Brier.” on 2019-02-18
• PseudonymousUser estimated 80% on 2019-03-10
• jbeshir   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.