Politics – Bashar al-Assad ceases to be president of Syria before 1 January 2020.

Created by jbeshir on 2019-02-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2020-01-01.

• jbeshir estimated 3% on 2019-02-17
• pranomostro estimated 10% on 2019-02-17
• Cato said “FYI betting odds currently imply 6%: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/4964/Will-Bashar-al-Assad-be-president-of-Syria-on-Dec-31,-2019” on 2019-02-18
• amadeu estimated 5% on 2019-03-18
• jbeshir   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.