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Alexander Acosta (Rene Alexander Acosta) will not be the United States Secretary of Labor before the end of 2019

Created by two2thehead on 2019-02-23; known on 2020-01-05; judged right by two2thehead on 2019-07-12.

  • two2thehead estimated 55% on 2019-02-23
  • two2thehead said “The true-false criterion is whether Alexander Acosta is not the Secretary of Labor once. This means that if he is fired and then rehired, or retires and is rehired, or is promoted/whatever and demoted/whatever this is marked as correct” on 2019-02-23
  • Cato estimated 60% on 2019-03-01
  • two2thehead estimated 95% and said “Let us go for broke, shall we?” on 2019-07-07
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 44% on 2019-07-09
  • two2thehead said “US Labor Secretary Alex Acosta resigns amid pressure over his brokering of plea deal for financier Jeffrey Epstein” on 2019-07-12
  • two2thehead said “Source: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-48967419” on 2019-07-12
  • two2thehead   judged this prediction right on 2019-07-12.
  • two2thehead said “I love it when a bet pays off” on 2019-07-12