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[Hong Kong vigil to commemorate 30th anniversary of Tian'anmen Square Incident to] draw record-low attendance, assuming it is not canceled

Created by Cato on 2019-02-28; known on 2019-06-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-05.

  • Cato estimated 1% on 2019-02-28
  • Cato changed the deadline from “on 2019-06-05” on 2019-02-28
  • Cato said “Verification: Vigil organizers (note that their estimates usually exceed police estimates by about 3x)” on 2019-02-28
  • pranomostro estimated 5% on 2019-02-28
  • Cato said “Current record low is 1995’s 35,000.” on 2019-04-01
  • Cato estimated 0% on 2019-04-01
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-06-05.