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[Politics] Andrew Yang to be a guest on a major American late-night talk show before May 2019 EOM

Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known on 2019-06-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-03.

  • Cato estimated 80% on 2019-03-05
  • Cato changed the deadline from “on 2019-06-01” and changed their prediction from “[Politics] Andrew Yang to be a guest on a major American late-night talk show before May EOM” on 2019-03-06
  • pranomostro estimated 80% on 2019-03-07
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 45% on 2019-03-10
  • Cato estimated 90% on 2019-03-12
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 55% on 2019-03-12
  • Cato estimated 91% on 2019-03-20
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 40% on 2019-03-28
  • Cato estimated 80% on 2019-04-01
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 38% and said “I’m assuming this covers the same four shows you listed in the April EOM prediction: Colbert, Conan, Fallon, Kimmel. on 2019-04-11
  • Cato said “Yes.on 2019-04-11
  • Cato estimated 84% on 2019-04-15
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 29% on 2019-04-17
  • Cato estimated 15% on 2019-05-13
  • Cato estimated 1% on 2019-05-19
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-06-03.