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[Macri to be re-elected president of Argentina, given USDARS] > 40

Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known on 2019-10-28; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-28.

  • Cato estimated 30% on 2019-03-05
  • Cato said “Definition: average exchange rate for the 30 trading days preceding election day for which data are available” on 2019-03-05
  • pranomostro estimated 40% on 2019-03-07
  • Cato said “Currency data: https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-ars-historical-data” on 2019-04-10
  • Cato estimated 35% on 2019-05-29
  • Cato estimated 20% on 2019-08-13
  • Cato said “USDARS for last 30 days is about 57” on 2019-10-28
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-10-28.