Someone to climb Uluru within three months after doing so is banned on October 26, 2019

Created by Cato on 2019-03-07; known on 2020-02-27; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-02-29.

• Cato estimated 10% on 2019-03-07
• pranomostro said “@Cato: could you clarify what you mean by this? Is it “someone climbs Uluru, is banned, climbs it again, is banned again?”” on 2019-03-07
• two2thehead said “I think it refers to how climbing Uluru is banned after 2019 Oct. I think he is prediction whether someone will climb it after the ban is in effect.” on 2019-03-07
• two2thehead said “he is predicting*” on 2019-03-07
• two2thehead said “Source: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-11-01/uluru-climbs-banned-after-unanimous-board-decision/9103512” on 2019-03-07
• Cato said “Sorry for the confusing wording. The explanation from /two2thehead/ is correct. Climbing Uluru is banned starting October 26. This prediction resolves as “Correct” if someone climbs within three months after that date (inclusive).” on 2019-03-08
• pranomostro estimated 20% and said “@two2thehead: Okay, that is a lot clearer.” on 2019-03-08
• Cato estimated 15% on 2019-10-08
• Cato estimated 15% on 2019-10-08
• stepan estimated 1% on 2020-02-24
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-02-29.