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Someone to climb Uluru within three months after doing so is banned on October 26, 2019

Created by Cato on 2019-03-07; known on 2020-02-27; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-02-29.

  • Cato estimated 10% on 2019-03-07
  • pranomostro said “@Cato: could you clarify what you mean by this? Is it “someone climbs Uluru, is banned, climbs it again, is banned again?”on 2019-03-07
  • two2thehead said “I think it refers to how climbing Uluru is banned after 2019 Oct. I think he is prediction whether someone will climb it after the ban is in effect.on 2019-03-07
  • two2thehead said “he is predicting*on 2019-03-07
  • two2thehead said “Source: 2019-03-07
  • Cato said “Sorry for the confusing wording. The explanation from /two2thehead/ is correct. Climbing Uluru is banned starting October 26. This prediction resolves as “Correct” if someone climbs within three months after that date (inclusive).on 2019-03-08
  • pranomostro estimated 20% and said “@two2thehead: Okay, that is a lot clearer.on 2019-03-08
  • Cato estimated 15% on 2019-10-08
  • Cato estimated 15% on 2019-10-08
  • stepan estimated 1% on 2020-02-24
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-02-29.