A non-Marvel film to outgross “Captain Marvel” in 2019
- Cato estimated 60% on 2019-03-19
- pranomostro estimated 75% and said “I’d say the ninth star wars film is a really strong contender: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/franchises/chart/?id=starwars.htm” on 2019-03-19
- Cato said “@pranomostro I agree. But isn’t there an inconsistency between your estimate here and your estimate at https://predictionbook.com/predictions/194977?” on 2019-03-20
- Cato said “Pr(Any film outgrosses CM) >= Pr(Non-Marvel film outgrosses CM), right?” on 2019-03-20
- Cato estimated 68% on 2019-06-12
- Cato judged this prediction right on 2020-01-02.
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