A non-Marvel film to outgross “Captain Marvel” in 2019

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-02.

• Cato estimated 60% on 2019-03-19
• pranomostro estimated 75% and said “I’d say the ninth star wars film is a really strong contender: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/franchises/chart/?id=starwars.htm” on 2019-03-19
• Cato said “@pranomostro I agree. But isn’t there an inconsistency between your estimate here and your estimate at https://predictionbook.com/predictions/194977?” on 2019-03-20
• Cato said “Pr(Any film outgrosses CM) >= Pr(Non-Marvel film outgrosses CM), right?” on 2019-03-20
• Cato estimated 68% on 2019-06-12
• Cato   judged this prediction right on 2020-01-02.