[In 2019 H2 Twitter to ban/suspend] a sitting head of state or government

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-03.

• Cato estimated 8% on 2019-03-19
• Cato changed the deadline from “on 2020-01-01” on 2019-03-19
• pranomostro estimated 10% on 2019-03-19
• PseudonymousUser estimated 6% on 2019-03-20
• Baeboo estimated 8% on 2019-03-20
• Cato estimated 11% on 2019-04-16
• Cato estimated 12% on 2019-06-11
• Cato estimated 1% on 2019-10-21
• Bruno Parga said “Raul Castro was b& and he is still the head of the Communist Party, although he’s no longer nominally the President since April. He’s still likely the eminence grise, though – these commie countries are hard to define.” on 2020-01-01
• Cato said “Good point. But I’m judging this as false; the head of state is still the president.” on 2020-01-03
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-03.