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[US Politics] At least one Democratic candidate who participates in the first (June) debate to end/suspend campaign before the second (July) debate

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-08-01; judged right by Cato on 2019-07-09.

  • Cato estimated 90% on 2019-03-22
  • pranomostro estimated 70% on 2019-03-25
  • Cato estimated 75% on 2019-04-17
  • Cato estimated 60% on 2019-05-05
  • Cato estimated 69% on 2019-06-25
  • Cato said “Swalwell has dropped out.on 2019-07-09
  • Cato   judged this prediction right on 2019-07-09.