[US Economy] “Recession probability” indicator for July 2019 to exceed 50%
Created by Cato on 2019-04-03; known on 2019-09-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-05.
- Cato estimated 10% on 2019-04-03
- Cato on 2019-04-03
- Cato said “Verification: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RECPROUSM156N” on 2019-04-03
- pranomostro estimated 18% on 2019-04-05
- deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-05-02
- Cato estimated 11% on 2019-06-05
- Cato judged this prediction wrong on 2019-09-05.