[US Economy] “Recession probability” indicator for October 2019 to exceed 50%

Created by Cato on 2019-04-03; known on 2019-12-05

• Cato estimated 16% on 2019-04-03
• Cato said “Verification: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RECPROUSM156N” on 2019-04-03
• pranomostro estimated 18% on 2019-04-05
• Cato changed the deadline from “on 2019-11-30” 14 days ago
• Cato estimated 17% 12 days ago

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