[US politics] Someone other than Donald Trump to win at least one state in the 2020 Republican presidential primary

Created by Cato on 2019-04-16; known on 2020-08-27; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-09-15.

• Cato estimated 20% on 2019-04-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2019-04-16
• pranomostro estimated 25% on 2019-04-18
• amadeu estimated 10% on 2019-04-19
• JoshuaZ estimated 8% on 2019-04-26
• Cato estimated 21% on 2019-06-10
• Cato estimated 27% on 2019-08-26
• Cato estimated 33% on 2019-09-27
• Cato estimated 37% on 2019-11-20
• Cato estimated 48% on 2019-12-06
• Cato estimated 36% on 2020-02-29
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-09-15.