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[US politics] Someone other than Donald Trump to win at least one state in the 2020 Republican presidential primary

Created by Cato on 2019-04-16; known on 2020-08-27; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-09-15.

  • Cato estimated 20% on 2019-04-16
  • JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2019-04-16
  • pranomostro estimated 25% on 2019-04-18
  • amadeu estimated 10% on 2019-04-19
  • JoshuaZ estimated 8% on 2019-04-26
  • Cato estimated 21% on 2019-06-10
  • Cato estimated 27% on 2019-08-26
  • Cato estimated 33% on 2019-09-27
  • Cato estimated 37% on 2019-11-20
  • Cato estimated 48% on 2019-12-06
  • Cato estimated 36% on 2020-02-29
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-09-15.