Wikipedia's English version to be blocked in China a month from now
Created by Cato on 2019-04-25; known on 2019-05-24; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-24.
- Cato estimated 40% on 2019-04-25
- Cato said “Verification: https://viewdns.info/chinesefirewall/” on 2019-04-25
- Cato said “Context: Wikipedia seems to be newly blocked in China. I think this may be “collateral damage” from blocking something else, temporary intimidation, or even a technical error.” on 2019-04-25
- PseudonymousUser estimated 90% on 2019-04-25
- pranomostro estimated 40% on 2019-04-25
- Hesse estimated 70% on 2019-04-28
- Cato estimated 60% on 2019-04-29
- deleteyourbrain estimated 80% on 2019-05-01
- Cato estimated 75% on 2019-05-05
- Cato estimated 77% on 2019-05-10
- Cato estimated 90% on 2019-05-13
- Cato estimated 99% on 2019-05-14
- PseudonymousUser estimated 93% on 2019-05-22
- stepan estimated 89% on 2019-05-22
- PseudonymousUser said “stepan betting on a last minute reversal :)” on 2019-05-23
- PseudonymousUser said “Well, not really. But 89 percent is low” on 2019-05-23
- PseudonymousUser estimated 97% on 2019-05-23
- Cato judged this prediction right on 2019-05-24.