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Wikipedia's English version to be blocked in China a month from now

Created by Cato on 2019-04-25; known on 2019-05-24; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-24.

  • Cato estimated 40% on 2019-04-25
  • Cato said “Verification: https://viewdns.info/chinesefirewall/on 2019-04-25
  • Cato said “Context: Wikipedia seems to be newly blocked in China. I think this may be “collateral damage” from blocking something else, temporary intimidation, or even a technical error.on 2019-04-25
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 90% on 2019-04-25
  • pranomostro estimated 40% on 2019-04-25
  • Hesse estimated 70% on 2019-04-28
  • Cato estimated 60% on 2019-04-29
  • deleteyourbrain estimated 80% on 2019-05-01
  • Cato estimated 75% on 2019-05-05
  • Cato estimated 77% on 2019-05-10
  • Cato estimated 90% on 2019-05-13
  • Cato estimated 99% on 2019-05-14
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 93% on 2019-05-22
  • stepan estimated 89% on 2019-05-22
  • PseudonymousUser said “stepan betting on a last minute reversal :)on 2019-05-23
  • PseudonymousUser said “Well, not really. But 89 percent is lowon 2019-05-23
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 97% on 2019-05-23
  • Cato   judged this prediction right on 2019-05-24.