[US politics: As of 2019-07-25] Andrew Yang will have been listed by PredictIt as the top contender for the Democratic Party nomination for at least one day
Created by Cato on 2019-04-26; known on 2019-07-26; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-26.
- Cato estimated 15% on 2019-04-26
- Cato said “Verification: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination” on 2019-04-26
- Cato said “Note that Yang is currently ranked 6th, behind Warren and ahead of O’Rourke” on 2019-04-26
- pranomostro estimated 20% on 2019-04-26
- Cato estimated 19% on 2019-05-16
- Cato estimated 18% on 2019-06-12
- Cato estimated 24% on 2019-06-25
- Cato estimated 7% on 2019-07-02
- Cato estimated 6% on 2019-07-09
- Cato estimated 1% on 2019-07-09
- Cato estimated 0% on 2019-07-16
- Jackzilla estimated 1% and said “If the others die or he comes in second in Iowa or NH” on 2019-07-24
- Cato judged this prediction wrong on 2019-07-26.