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[Taiwan: The winner of the 2020 presidential election to be] a member of the KMT

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-01-12; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-12.

  • Cato estimated 39% on 2019-05-10
  • pranomostro estimated 30% on 2019-05-13
  • Cato estimated 45% on 2019-07-16
  • Cato estimated 58% on 2019-09-20
  • Cato estimated 41% on 2019-11-08
  • Cato estimated 17% on 2020-01-08
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-12.