US military to execute air strike or missile strike on Iranian territory or naval assets by May 2020 EOM

Created by Cato on 2019-05-13; known on 2020-06-01

  • Cato estimated 17% on 2019-05-13
  • Cato changed the deadline from “on 2020-05-12” and changed their prediction from “US military to execute air strike or missile strike on Iranian territory or naval assets in the next year” on 2019-05-13
  • pranomostro estimated 10% on 2019-05-13
  • pranomostro estimated 30% on 2019-05-13
  • Cato estimated 27% on 2019-05-17
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 7% on 2019-05-20
  • stepan estimated 13% on 2019-05-22
  • Cato estimated 41% on 2019-06-24
  • Cato estimated 11% on 2019-09-11
  • Cato estimated 19% on 2019-09-19
  • Cato estimated 22% on 2019-10-11

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