[Politics] Iran and US to establish formal diplomatic relations by May 2020 EOM

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-06-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-05.

• Cato estimated 1% on 2019-05-14
• pranomostro estimated 5% on 2019-05-24
• Cato estimated 3% on 2019-06-24
• Cato estimated 16% on 2019-09-11
• Cato estimated 11% on 2019-09-19
• Cato estimated 10% on 2019-10-11
• Cato estimated 9% on 2019-12-06
• Cato estimated 2% on 2020-01-07
• Bruno Parga estimated 1% on 2020-01-07
• Cato estimated 1% on 2020-02-29
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-06-05.