[Commodities: In at least one month between May 2019 and May 2020, Iraq crude oil production to fall below] 4 MMbpd

Created by Cato on 2019-05-16; known on 2020-06-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-11.

• Cato estimated 30% on 2019-05-16
• Cato said “US EIA reports April 2019 production at 4.7 MMbpd” on 2019-05-16
• Cato changed the deadline from “on 2019-07-14” and changed their prediction from “4 MMbpd” on 2019-05-16
• Cato changed their prediction from “1 MMbpd” on 2019-05-16
• pranomostro estimated 40% on 2019-05-31
• Cato estimated 28% on 2019-06-12
• Cato estimated 26% on 2019-08-07
• Cato estimated 22% on 2019-10-11
• Cato estimated 21% on 2019-11-20
• Cato estimated 20% on 2020-01-10
• Cato estimated 14% on 2020-02-29
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-06-11.