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[Commodities: In at least one month between May 2019 and May 2020, Iraq crude oil production to fall below] 3 MMbpd

Created by Cato on 2019-05-16; known on 2020-06-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-11.

  • Cato estimated 15% on 2019-05-16
  • Cato said “US EIA reports April 2019 production at 4.7 MMbpdon 2019-05-16
  • Cato changed the deadline from “on 2019-07-14” and changed their prediction from “3 MMbpd” on 2019-05-16
  • Cato changed their prediction from “2 MMbpd” on 2019-05-16
  • pranomostro estimated 30% on 2019-05-31
  • Cato estimated 11% on 2019-06-12
  • Cato estimated 9% on 2019-08-07
  • Cato estimated 14% on 2019-10-11
  • Cato estimated 12% on 2019-11-20
  • Cato estimated 11% on 2020-01-10
  • Cato estimated 4% on 2020-02-29
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-06-11.