US-China Trade War will NOT end in 2019.
Created by zilong on 2019-06-02; known on 2019-12-31; judged right by zilong on 2019-12-31.
- zilong estimated 70% on 2019-06-02
- AlexLamson said “How will we know when it ended?” on 2019-06-02
- pranomostro estimated 80% and said “I agree on the unclear resolution criteria.” on 2019-06-04
- PseudonymousUser estimated 85% on 2019-06-05
- stepan estimated 80% on 2019-06-11
- objclone estimated 75% on 2019-06-20
- PseudonymousUser estimated 90% on 2019-08-08
- qznc estimated 60% on 2019-12-12
- galen estimated 90% on 2019-12-29
- zilong judged this prediction right on 2019-12-31.
- zilong said “Given that the phase-one deal hasn’t been signed yet, I judge this prediction to be right. Even if it was signed already, it would still be short of a conclusive end to the trade war as most disputes are unresolved and tariffs kept.” on 2019-12-31