Andrew Yang runs as a third party candidate

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2019-06-03; known on 2020-11-01; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-11-02.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 55% on 2019-06-03
• PseudonymousUser said “This prediction covers the hypothetical possibility that Andrew Yang loses the Democratic primary but continues his campaign as a third party candidate. ” on 2019-06-03
• pranomostro estimated 40% on 2019-06-04
• amadeu estimated 5% on 2019-06-08
• chemotaxis101 estimated 15% on 2019-06-30
• PseudonymousUser estimated 21% on 2019-08-06
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2020-03-15
• sty.silver estimated 1% and said “Hev would never do that. I’d have bet <5% at the time this was created.” on 2020-03-15
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2020-03-15
• overtone estimated 0% on 2020-07-31
• arrowinthedark estimated 0% on 2020-08-10
• pdf estimated 0% on 2020-10-28
• sty.silver   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-02.