Trump wins a second term in office

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 21 days ago; known on 2020-11-04

  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 78% 21 days ago
  • pranomostro estimated 45% 20 days ago
  • lettergram estimated 60% 15 days ago
  • stepan estimated 48% 14 days ago
  • holomanga estimated 42% and said “Any reason to believe a probably above PredictIt’s?14 days ago
  • davatk estimated 35% 12 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Any good reason not to buy Tulip bulbs, Holo?12 days ago
  • two2thehead said “This prediction needs clarification. What happens if he is impeached in the first term or doesn’t run? Is the prediction judged or withdrawn?12 days ago
  • jamesrom estimated 90% 11 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Two2thehead: the outcome is judged as true if an election is held, and he runs, and he wins. Otherwise, it is marked as false. In no event will it be withdrawn. 11 days ago
  • two2thehead estimated 45% and said “Gotcha11 days ago
  • Cato said “@two2thehead: So in the unlikely event that he wins without running (because of faithless electors), this will be marked wrong?10 days ago
  • two2thehead said “Excellent question. I’m tempted to say yes, but I’ll defer to Tapetum-Lucidum.10 days ago
  • Baeboo estimated 45% 7 days ago
  • objclone estimated 75% 7 days ago
  • holycow81 estimated 60% 7 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Cato: in that event, yes, it would be marked wrong. 2 days ago
  • Cato said “@Tapetum-Lucidum: OK, thanks.1 day ago

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction