Trump wins a second term in office

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-06-05; known on 2020-11-04

  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 78% on 2019-06-05
  • pranomostro estimated 45% on 2019-06-05
  • lettergram estimated 60% on 2019-06-10
  • stepan estimated 48% on 2019-06-11
  • holomanga estimated 42% and said “Any reason to believe a probably above PredictIt’s?on 2019-06-12
  • davatk estimated 35% on 2019-06-13
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Any good reason not to buy Tulip bulbs, Holo?on 2019-06-14
  • two2thehead said “This prediction needs clarification. What happens if he is impeached in the first term or doesn’t run? Is the prediction judged or withdrawn?on 2019-06-14
  • jamesrom estimated 90% on 2019-06-14
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Two2thehead: the outcome is judged as true if an election is held, and he runs, and he wins. Otherwise, it is marked as false. In no event will it be withdrawn. on 2019-06-14
  • two2thehead estimated 45% and said “Gotchaon 2019-06-15
  • Cato said “@two2thehead: So in the unlikely event that he wins without running (because of faithless electors), this will be marked wrong?on 2019-06-15
  • two2thehead said “Excellent question. I’m tempted to say yes, but I’ll defer to Tapetum-Lucidum.on 2019-06-15
  • Baeboo estimated 45% on 2019-06-18
  • objclone estimated 75% on 2019-06-18
  • holycow81 estimated 60% on 2019-06-18
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Cato: in that event, yes, it would be marked wrong. on 2019-06-23
  • Cato said “@Tapetum-Lucidum: OK, thanks.on 2019-06-24
  • true estimated 30% on 2019-06-26
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 55% on 2019-06-30
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 60% 23 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 40% 5 days ago

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction