[Politics: By 2019-11-01] “no-deal Brexit” to have happened

Created by Cato on 2019-07-24; known on 2019-11-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2019-11-05.

• Cato estimated 16% on 2019-07-24
• pranomostro estimated 10% on 2019-07-26
• Bruno Parga estimated 30% on 2019-08-23
• Cato estimated 38% on 2019-08-29
• Cato estimated 27% on 2019-09-04
• PseudonymousUser estimated 35% on 2019-09-04
• Cato estimated 31% on 2019-09-06
• Baeboo estimated 8% on 2019-09-07
• Cato estimated 28% on 2019-09-24
• zilong estimated 40% on 2019-09-28
• Cato estimated 22% on 2019-10-09
• Baeboo estimated 11% on 2019-10-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 20% on 2019-10-17
• Baeboo estimated 10% on 2019-10-19
• Cato estimated 10% on 2019-10-22
• Baeboo estimated 5% on 2019-10-23
• zilong estimated 10% on 2019-10-24
• Baeboo estimated 4% on 2019-10-27
• kvfi estimated 20% on 2019-10-28
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2019-10-28
• wizzwizz4 said “Unless something very strange happens in the next few days, this isn’t going to happen.” on 2019-10-28
• wizzwizz4   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-10-28.
• Cato   judged this prediction unknown on 2019-10-28.
• Cato said “@wizzwizz4 I agree. Feel free to estimate 0%. But why pre-judge it?” on 2019-10-28
• Cato   judged this prediction unknown on 2019-11-04.
• Cato said “The site won’t let me judge this wrong. Not sure what to do now.” on 2019-11-04
• Cato said “If someone else is able to judge it wrong, please do so. (@wizzwizz4?)” on 2019-11-04
• Baeboo   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-11-05.
• Cato said “Thanks” on 2019-11-06