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Chinese People's Liberation Army to be (overtly) deployed to Hong Kong by 2020-01-23

Created by Cato on 2019-07-24; known on 2020-01-24; judged wrong by pranomostro on 2020-01-25.

  • Cato estimated 19% on 2019-07-24
  • pranomostro estimated 10% on 2019-07-26
  • Cato estimated 29% on 2019-08-02
  • Cato estimated 37% on 2019-08-13
  • Cato changed the deadline from “on 2020-01-14on 2020-01-14
  • Cato said “Updated reminder deadline to match title deadlineon 2020-01-14
  • peter_hurford estimated 1% on 2020-01-15
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2020-01-21
  • pranomostro said “AFAIK didn’t happen.on 2020-01-25
  • pranomostro   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-25.