Chinese People's Liberation Army to be (overtly) deployed to Hong Kong by 2020-01-23

Created by Cato on 2019-07-24; known on 2020-01-24; judged wrong by pranomostro on 2020-01-25.

• Cato estimated 19% on 2019-07-24
• pranomostro estimated 10% on 2019-07-26
• Cato estimated 29% on 2019-08-02
• Cato estimated 37% on 2019-08-13
• Cato changed the deadline from “on 2020-01-14” on 2020-01-14
• Cato said “Updated reminder deadline to match title deadline” on 2020-01-14
• peter_hurford estimated 1% on 2020-01-15
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2020-01-21
• pranomostro said “AFAIK didn’t happen.” on 2020-01-25
• pranomostro   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-25.