[Politics] PredictIt & FiveThirtyEight “A”-grade polls to agree on Dem frontrunner
Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known on 2019-09-29; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-29.
- Cato estimated 57% on 2019-07-29
- Cato said “https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination” on 2019-07-29
- Cato said “Average of most recent 3 A- or above polls: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/national/” on 2019-07-29
- pranomostro estimated 60% on 2019-08-03
- pranomostro estimated 65% on 2019-08-03
- Cato estimated 52% on 2019-08-26
- Cato estimated 57% on 2019-09-02
- Cato estimated 19% on 2019-09-18
- Cato estimated 16% on 2019-09-20
- Cato estimated 7% on 2019-09-24
- Cato judged this prediction wrong on 2019-09-29.