[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight's three most recent “A-” or better polls, the number of Democratic candidates averaging above 5% is] 4

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known on 2019-09-29; judged right by Cato on 2019-09-29.

• Cato estimated 32% on 2019-07-29
• Cato said “https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/national/” on 2019-07-29
• pranomostro estimated 15% on 2019-08-03
• Cato estimated 36% on 2019-08-26
• Cato estimated 39% and said “Clarification: “above” means “strictly greater than”” on 2019-09-18
• Cato estimated 45% on 2019-09-20
• Cato estimated 40% on 2019-09-24
• Cato   judged this prediction right on 2019-09-29.